The world will descend on New York on Sunday night, by way of the 78th Tony Awards . Shows set in the U.S., the U.K., Cuba, Italy, and Iran all make their way to the nominees circle. Not to mention a show from South Korea projected to win more Tonys than any other production, potentially the first one ever to premiere in Asia and win best musical.

And when I say “projected,” I mean that mathematically. Every year , I run a statistical model based on precursor awards , which categories a show is nominated in, blended critic predictions, and betting markets to project the odds that each nominee will emerge victorious in every category. After another wonderful year on Broadway , with 42 new shows opening and 29 of them receiving nominations, it’s time to get excited for the big night

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