Next week, voters in Battle River-Crowfoot will select a new member of Parliament. Pierre Poilievre, leader of the Conservative Party of Canada (CPC), is expected to win this election easily. However, the real challenge lies ahead. In 2026, Poilievre will undergo a mandatory leadership review at the CPC national convention in Calgary. Conservative party members will be asking one critical question: Can Poilievre become prime minister?

Under Poilievre’s leadership, the Conservatives gained both votes and seats in the last election. Despite the unpopularity of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the political inexperience of Mark Carney, the Conservatives fell short of securing government. This outcome has raised concerns about Poilievre’s future as a leader.

The political landscape was significantly influenced by Donald Trump’s second term as president. His presidency has created a chaotic environment that has affected Canadian politics. Many Canadians felt a sense of instability as Trump’s administration appeared increasingly hostile. By April, the Liberal Party introduced a new leader, Mark Carney, who is seen as a stable and serious candidate with a strong economic background.

In contrast, Poilievre is known for his confrontational style. His ability to provoke Trudeau has been notable, but some question whether he is the right leader for the current political climate. Looking ahead, Poilievre may have the opportunity to reclaim his position if he adapts his approach.

Carney will face challenges in the coming years, and Canadians may be ready for a change. As Helen Keller once said, "Security is mostly a superstition. It does not exist in nature." Many voters may seek a more adventurous political direction in the next election.

While Carney is viewed as a safe choice, he may not inspire excitement among voters. Reports indicate that Carney’s government will conduct a spending review that may not yield significant savings. If economic conditions worsen, it could create an opening for Poilievre’s return.

For Poilievre to succeed, he will need to evolve. His passion should not come across as aggression, and he must be willing to engage with the media more effectively. His previous strategy of avoiding media interaction may have been perceived as arrogance.

The recent election loss may have provided Poilievre with valuable lessons. This experience could lead him to become a more thoughtful and strategic leader, potentially positioning him for a successful future in Canadian politics.