Republican strategist Lance Trover on MSNBC

Republican strategists agreed the GOPs dominance in the House is under severe threat in 2026, judging by polls and recent election losses.

Former Deputy Pentagon Press Secretary Sabrina Singh told the panel on CNN’s “Table for Five” that Democrat Catelin Drey landed a 10-point win in an Iowa seat that President Donald Trump claimed by 11 points in 2024.

“That's over a 20-point swing in Democrats favor between those races,” said Singh, adding that Democrats are outperforming Kamala Harris. “…in other special elections all around the country Democrats are outperforming by an average of 13 points. … Those are the numbers that are indicators to flip the House.”

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“Table for Five” host Abbe Phillip said the dire indicators are the reason Republicans are redistricting to try to get five new seats in Texas and are pushing Indiana Republicans to do the same.

“It does seem like they realize that there's potentially a problem here,” Phillip said. “And for Donald Trump's agenda, the House and the Senate — or even just the House — could be the whole ballgame. Everything may grind to a halt if they don't hold on to those two chambers.”

Republican strategist Lance Trover admitted Trump is trying to rig the midterms through gerrymandering to hold the House.

“I don't think the White House is hiding behind why they want Texas to do what they're doing. They want Indiana … to do what they're doing. I mean, there's no question. This is this is a fight for the future of this administration going to go down to the wire in 2026.”

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Columnist Pete Seat, who served as a deputy assistant press secretary under George W. Bush, said Republicans also don’t have Donald Trump's name on the ballot.

“I admit that is a problem, and that is a challenge,” said Seat. “That is a hurdle for Republicans to make that connection for voters, particularly voters who aren't automatic Republican voters.”

Singh disagreed, saying she was not sure how much of an advantage Trump would bring the party if he were on the ballot, according to recent polls.

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