ANALYSIS – While states and districts that flip between the parties from cycle to cycle get the most attention, sometimes it’s healthy to take a step back and acknowledge places that remain remarkably stable politically.
Using Inside Elections’ Baseline metric as a guide, there are 10 evenly divided seats at the core of the battle for the House majority and 25 districts that shifted considerably from 2022 to 2024.
But there were also 14 House seats that didn’t budge.
Inside Elections’ Baseline metric captures the political performance of a congressional district (or state) by combining all federal and state election results over the past four election cycles into a single score. This index aims to approximate what share of the vote a “typical” Democrat or Republican might receive i