Just three months ago, Israel and Iran fought a 12-day war that shook the Middle East. Missiles and drones flew in both directions, but with a major assist from the U.S., Israel established dominance of Iran’s airspace, repeatedly struck nuclear and military targets across Iran, and killed 30 security commanders and 19 of Iran’s nuclear scientists . Iran’s retaliation accomplished little that might deter Israel in the future.

A return to war is unlikely. Though Iran likely retains a stockpile of enriched uranium and the means to rebuild enrichment capability, the Israeli-American bombing campaign ensured it is now several years away from being able to produce a nuclear weapon. Israel has also essentially normalized direct strikes inside Iran’s borders and demonstrated its abil

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