In an unprecedented warning, leading climate think-tank says Canada won't meet 2030 climate target

Years of progress on bringing Canada's carbon emissions down have stalled, and future progress looks increasingly fragile, according to an early 2024 emissions estimate from the Canadian Climate Institute (CCI).

The leading climate policy think-tank, which publishes its estimates a few months before the government does, is saying for the first time that Canada will not meet its 2030 emissions target.

Emissions from the oil and gas industry rose, especially the oilsands, offsetting any emissions reductions in other sectors like transportation and buildings, it said.

The institute estimates 2024 emissions at 694.3 megatonnes of carbon dioxide — almost flat from 2023. They're now 8.5 per cent below 2005 levels, a far cry from Canada's target of reaching 40 to 45 per cent below those le