The Detroit Tigers (86-74) visit the Boston Red Sox (88-72) Saturday afternoon for the second game of their 3-game series at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's MLB odds around the Tigers vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tigers lead 3-1.
Detroit continued its downslide Friday, falling 4-3 against Boston, failing to cover as a +106 road underdog, and losing its ninth of its last 10 games. DH Jahmai Jones had a team-high 2 RBIs, while all 3 of the Tigers' runs came in the fourth inning of the loss.
With the loss, the Tigers are now even with the Cleveland Guardians atop the AL Central. The Guardians hold the tiebreaker, meaning the Tigers lead the Houston Astros by 1 game for the final AL Wild Card spot.
Boston has won 3 of its last 4 games after Friday's victory while covering as a -115 home favorite. Four different Red Sox players had an RBI while the Sox scored 1 run in the seventh, eighth and ninth innings for the comeback, walk-off win. CF Ceddanne Rafaela was the hero, with a game-winning triple in the ninth.
The Red Sox clinched their first playoff berth since 2021 with the win.
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Tigers at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Keider Montero vs. LHP Connelly Early
Montero (5-3, 4.48 ERA) makes his 20th appearance and 12th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 86 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 3 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 2 K in a 6-5 home loss vs. Atlanta Braves Saturday
- Career vs. Red Sox: 0-0, 8.10 ERA (3 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.80 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 1 game
Early (1-1, 1.88 ERA) makes his fourth start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 13.8 K/9 through 14 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K in a 7-3 road loss against Tampa Bay Rays Sunday
- Saturday will be his first career appearance against the Tigers
Tigers at Red Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Tigers +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Red Sox -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-210) | Red Sox -1.5 (+160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Tigers at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 3, Tigers 2
Moneyline
BET RED SOX (-125).
The Tigers have struggled as the end of the season approaches, watching their division lead erase after losing 12 of their last 14 games, including 9 of their last 10. What used to be a great team with World Series aspirations has been halted in its tracks.
Even with the Red Sox clinching a playoff berth last night, do not expect them to let their foot off the gas with just 2 games remaining before the playoffs start. The Sox have won 3 of their last 4 games and 5 of their last 7. Early has shown promise in the beginning of his MLB career and will look for another strong start Saturday.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The best wager in this matchup is on the moneyline.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 9 (-120).
The Tigers have hit the Under in each of their last 3 games and in 6 of their last 9. They have scored 4 or fewer runs in 8 of their last 9, including 3 or fewer in 4 of their last 5. They have allowed 4 or fewer runs in back-to-back games.
The Red Sox have avoided the Over in 6 of their last 10, including 3 of their last 4. They have scored 4 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 5 while allowing 3 or fewer in 3 of their last 4.
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions
Reporting by Seth Orlemann, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire
USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect