Every airspace violation costs Russia a few thousand dollars in fuel.

Every NATO response costs millions in scrambled fighters and emergency meetings — and infinitely more in damaged credibility when the allies look weak and indecisive.

Moscow keeps offering the same choice: Act or fold.

And every time the West hesitates, the bluff gets harder to call.

Russian jets didn’t bomb Tallinn ; the drones over Poland carried no payload.

The incursions over Denmark and near Alaska are shrouded in the fog of plausible deniability — serious enough to scramble fighters but ambiguous enough to dodge consequences.

And that’s exactly the point. Moscow is waging a different kind of war on the West. Not like the one it brought to Ukraine.

The point of poking NATO is to provoke nothing.

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