If you trust recent NBA history, there are only three viable candidates to win the 2025-26 MVP award. The first is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander , which obviously makes sense as he's the reigning MVP winner on the reigning NBA champion. The second is Anthony Edwards . Again, makes sense. He's been to back-to-back Western Conference finals and has improved meaningfully in every offseason of his career thus far. The third is... Evan Mobley ?

That one might surprise you, and I'm not suggesting that he's going to win the award. I'm merely pointing out the rather formulaic nature of recent MVP voting. Since LeBron James won in 2012, every MVP has had two things in common. The first is that they've been between the ages of 24 and 28. Gilgeous-Alexander is 27. Edwards and Mobley are 24 on th

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