The Brief

The U.S. population may shrink in 2025 for the first time ever as immigration and birth rates decline.

The immigrant population fell by over a million between January and June 2025, Census data shows.

Experts warn the drop could slow GDP growth and weaken job creation in the coming years.

According to a report, the U.S. population may decline in 2025 for the first time in history as immigration and birth rates continue to fall.

Immigrant population in the US declining, data shows

By the numbers:

According to the American Enterprise Institute , in 2025, net migration is expected to range from a loss of about 525,000 people to a small gain of 115,000, showing fewer people coming in and more leaving.

Migration may drop even more in 2026 before starting to recover in 2027 an

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