Ten years ago, the United States and Iran, two bitter adversaries that viewed each other in the worst possible light, shocked the world by announcing a major nuclear agreement after nearly three years of intense negotiations. Dubbed the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), the deal was essentially an old-fashioned trade: In exchange for the U.S. and the United Nations Security Council lifting sanctions on the Iranian economy, Tehran would put caps on its nuclear work and allow international inspectors to access its nuclear weapons program. While the deal wasn’t perfect — Washington and Tehran would remain on awful terms across the gambit of foreign policy issues — it at least kicked the nuclear can down the road and provided some semblance of predictability.

Of course, we know the

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