Vanderbilt Commodores quarterback Diego Pavia (2) runs the ball against the Utah State Aggies during the third quarter at FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee.

The No. 17 Vanderbilt Commodores (5-0, 1-0 SEC) visit the No. 11 Alabama Crimson Tide (3-1, 1-0) Saturday afternoon at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NCAA football odds around the Vanderbilt vs. Alabama odds and make our expert college football picks and predictions for the best bets.

Vanderbilt remains undefeated after taking down the Utah State Aggies 55-35 last Saturday while narrowly failing to cover as a 22.5-point home favorite. QB Diego Pavia went 26-of-34 for 321 yards with 5 TD and a pick while leading the team on the ground with 9 rushes for 79 yards and a TD. WR Junior Sherrill had a big day with 6 receptions for 91 yards and 3 TDs.

Alabama has won 3 games in a row after taking care of the No. 10 Georgia Bulldogs 24-21 last week and covering as a 2.5-point road underdog. QB Ty Simpson went 24-for-38 for 276 yards and 2 TDs while also punching in a TD on the ground in the upset win.

Alabama leads the all-time series 63-19-4, but Vanderbilt won 40-35 last season for its first win in the series since 1984.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

Vanderbilt at Alabama odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 4:01 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Vanderbilt +350 (bet $100 to win $350) | Alabama -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Vanderbilt +11.5 (-110) | Alabama -11.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 55.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Vanderbilt at Alabama picks and predictions

Prediction

Vanderbilt 34, Alabama 28

Moneyline

BET VANDERBILT (+350).

Vanderbilt has been an explosive team this season, scoring at least 31 points in every game. They have scored 125 points over their last 2 games, and with Pavia behind center, they are the perfect team to pull off this upset. While their defense has had its struggles, the Crimson Tide has faced some offensive difficulties this season. Under the right conditions, this is a terrific value on Vanderbilt.

Against the spread

PASS.

If you are not as confident in the Commodores +11.5 (-110) pulling off the upset, there is still solid value on their spread.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 55.5 (-115).

Not only have the Commodores scored at least 31 points in each game this season, they have scored 44-plus points in 4 of their 5 games. They have allowed at least 20 points in 3 of their last 4 games.

The Crimson Tide have scored at least 24 points in each of their last 3 games while allowing 14 or more points in 3 of their 4 games.

Both sides will be looking to strike early and often in this matchup, which can very likely turn into a shootout.

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Vanderbilt Commodores at Alabama Crimson Tide odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Seth Orlemann, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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