New York Yankees pitcher Max Fried (54) in action against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland.

The New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays meet Sunday afternoon for Game 2 of their best-of-5 AL Division Series. The opening pitch from Rogers Centre will be at 4:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's MLB odds around the Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Series: Toronto leads 1-0; won regular-season series 8-5

New York lost for just the third time in its last 16 games when it was dumped 10-1 in Saturday's series lid-lifter. The Yankee bullpen was torched for 8 runs across the seventh and eighth innings after the AL East foes had tallied a total of 3 runs through 7 1/2 frames. Including the regular season, New York is 5-9 over its last 14 games against Toronto.

The AL East-champion Blue Jays banged out 3 home runs, 2 by C Alejandro Kirk, as part of a 14-hit attack in Game 1. The 10-1 triumph marked the franchise's first postseason victory since 2016. Since Aug. 31, Toronto has gone 11-3 at home.

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Yankees at Blue Jays projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Trey Yesavage

Fried (regular season: 19-5, 2.86 ERA) logged a 1.10 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 195 1/3 IP over 32 regular-season starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 3-1 loss vs. Boston Red Sox Tuesday (ALWCS Game 1)
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 4-1, 2.70 ERA (43 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 31 H, 14 BB, 27 K in 7 starts
  • Owns a 4.66 ERA across 73 1/3 career postseason IP

Yesavage (1-0, 3.21 ERA) posted a 1.43 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 across 14 IP in 3 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 5-1 win vs. Tampa Bay Rays Sept. 27
  • Is a 22-year-old rookie who has never pitched against the Yankees, or in the postseason
  • The 2024 first-round draft pick is considered one of the Blue Jays' top prospects
  • Registered a 3.13 ERA, 0.97 WHIP across 4 minor-league levels in 2025

Yankees at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:58 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Blue Jays +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+110) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yankees at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 7, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

No interest. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Yankees have not lost back-to-back games since mid-September. They are the more battle-tested club when it comes to October baseball, and the rookie Yesavage takes to the mound on long rest.

Fried pitched 5 days ago, and he has an excellent history when pitching on 4 day's rest. He's pitching against a high-contact Blue Jays lineup that hits lefties well, but the veteran southpaw was sharp in his AL Wild Card Series start, and that was on the heels of posting a 1.55 ERA across his last 7 starts of the regular season.

In what figures as a relatively high scoring contest, YANKEES -1.5 (+110) is worth a partial-unit look.

Over/Under

The Over has gone 11-2 in the last 13 New York-Toronto games played north of the border.

The offenses are top shelf; the bullpens are not. With the combination of New York's plate discipline, Toronto's contact skills, the Blue Jays being untested with their mound starter, and the bullpens having blow-up downside, Sunday's game reaching double digits in the run column would not be a surprise.

Saturday's game was a strong play on the Over 8, and that wager cashed. The OVER 8 (-105) is the value side here.

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Skip Snow, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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