Peace, like politics, thrives on timing — and Donald Trump ’s timing has always been impeccable. On October 8, 2025, just weeks before Nobel season, the American president unveiled what he called a “historic breakthrough”: a US-brokered Gaza ceasefire between Israel and Hamas. The deal, which includes a 40-day truce, hostage exchanges, and phased Israeli troop withdrawals, was presented as proof that Trump’s brand of “America First diplomacy” could do what decades of traditional negotiation could not. Almost instantly, betting markets lit up. Trump’s odds for the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize surged, placing him alongside global humanitarian figures and grassroots movements. For a man who once complained that Barack Obama “got his Nobel too soon,” the symbolism was irresistible — Trump cou

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