Despite Donald Trump’s public claims that he deserves the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize for “ending seven wars,” AI chatbot ChatGPT estimates his chances of winning at just 5% to 8%.

According to ChatGPT, the Nobel Committee is more likely to honor a political leader or organization dedicated to human rights, democracy, or peace-building, giving them a 65%–70% chance of winning. Meanwhile, humanitarian or press freedom organizations have about a 20% probability of receiving the prize.

When asked who might win the Nobel Peace Prize 2025, ChatGPT responded: “The Nobel Peace Prize 2025 could go to a human rights defender, a pro-democracy group, or a humanitarian organization focused on Ukraine, Gaza, or press freedom. The Committee is expected to favor non-political, unifying figures rather than d

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