NBA offense by and large improves over time. A decade ago, the average NBA team scored 105.6 points per 100 possessions. Five years later, that figure increased to 110.6. Last season, it was 114.5. And yet, that wasn't the all-time high. In fact, we saw a 0.8 points per 100 possession decline leaguewide from the 2023-24 historic high of 115.3. The average NBA team posted a worse field goal percentage, 3-point percentage, free-throw rate and true shooting percentage than it did in the 2023-24 season.
So this begs a question: Has NBA offense peaked? Have defenses finally caught on to the league's 3-point-heavy modern offenses? Well, no. This was actually a pretty natural balance to what we saw in the 2023-24 season, when league-wide offense dipped by nearly two points per 100 possess