Syracuse, N.Y. — A huge party enrollment advantage. Big leads in campaign funds raised and spent. Prominence in the incumbent administration. That historically lopsided primary victory in June.

Syracuse Deputy Mayor Sharon Owens is the clear favorite, on paper, to become the city’s next mayor .

But until all of the votes are cast and counted in this year’s general election, nothing is guaranteed. The three men competing against Owens in this year’s race continue to express confidence they can win.

Republican Thomas Babilon is making a numbers-based case for a path to victory that banks on a combination of low turnout by Democrats, high participation from GOP voters and enough support from independents and disenchanted Dems.

Independent Alfonso Davis cites anecdotal evidence from

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