Vanderbilt Commodores quarterback Diego Pavia (2) celebrates the win against the Missouri Tigers at FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee.

The No. 11 Vanderbilt Commodores (7-1, 3-1 SEC) and No. 19 Texas Longhorns (6-2, 3-1) meet in a Top 25 conference clash Saturday. Kickoff from DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Texas, is set for noon ET (ABC). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NCAA football odds around the Vanderbilt vs. Texas odds and make our expert college football picks and predictions for the best bets.

The Commodores beat the No. 20 Missouri Tigers 17-10 in Week 9, covering as a 3-point home favorite as the Under (52.5) cashed. Vanderbilt is riding a 2-game winning streak with its lone loss coming in a 30-14 road defeat against the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide in Week 6. The Commodores are captained by QB Diego Pavia, who has 1,698 passing yards and a team-high 458 rushing yards as well.

The Longhorns, who have survived overtime in 2 straight weeks, beat the Mississippi State Bulldogs 45-38 Saturday, failing to cover as an 8.5-point road favorite as the Over (49) hit. Texas, which has yet to play a home conference game, is 3-0 straight up and 1-2 against the spread (ATS) at home. QB Arch Manning has led the charge with 1,795 passing yards and 21 total TDs.

Texas beat Vanderbilt 27-24 last season in their first meeting.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

Watch NCAA football on Fubo!

Vanderbilt at Texas odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 5:58 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Vanderbilt +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Texas -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Vanderbilt +3 (-110) | Texas -3 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Vanderbilt at Texas picks and predictions

Prediction

Texas 23, Vanderbilt 21

Moneyline

PASS.

While Vanderbilt has the potential to win outright, taking down a conference opponent on the road is a challenge, and the spread offers a slightly more favorable wager.

Against the spread

BET VANDERBILT +3 (-110).

The Commodores have consistently exceeded expectations and are 6-2 ATS on the season. They are 2-1 ATS in away games and 2-0 ATS as a single-digit underdog. Vanderbilt has allowed 24 points or fewer in 3 of 4 conference games.

Texas has struggled to separate itself from opponents as of late. It is 2-6 ATS on the season and just 1-3 ATS as a favorite of 14 or fewer. The Longhorns' defense was supposed to be formidable, but they have allowed at least 21 points in 6 of their 8 games this season and have given up at least 21 points in 3 of 4 conference games.

Expect a close game, but take the more proven Commodores side. Back VANDERBILT +3 (-110).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 46.5 (-105).

While the Pavia-led Commodores offense surged to start the season, they have scored 17 or fewer points in 2 of their last 3 games and just 62 points throughout all 3 of those contests combined. Vanderbilt is 1-3 O/U in conference play.

Texas' offense is averaging 15 points per game against ranked opponents (the Ohio State Buckeyes and Oklahoma Sooners). It is 0-2 O/U in those matchups and 3-5 O/U on the year. Considering those trends, take UNDER 44.5 (-105).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Duke / Florida / Florida State / Georgia / Iowa / Kentucky / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / UCLA / USC / Washington / Wisconsin / College Sports Wire / High School / Recruiting

This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Vanderbilt Commodores at Texas Longhorns odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Nathan Beighle, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect