Miami Hurricanes running back Mark Fletcher Jr. dives into the end zone for a touchdown against the USF Bulls during an NCAA football game at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida.

The No. 9 Miami Hurricanes (6-1, 2-1 ACC) visit the SMU Mustangs (5-3, 3-1) Saturday. Kickoff from Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, Texas, is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NCAA football odds around the Miami vs. SMU odds and make our expert college football picks and predictions for the best bets.

Miami got back in the win column last week with a 42-7 rout of Stanford while covering as a 30-point home favorite with the Over (45.5) hitting. QB Carson Beck went 21-of-28 for 189 yards and a touchdown. The Hurricanes dominated on the ground with 199 yards and 5 TDs, led by RB Mark Fletcher Jr., who carried the ball 23 times for 106 yards and 3 TDs.

SMU had a 3-game win streak snapped last week when Wake Forest kicked a 50-yard field goal as time expired for a 13-12 victory in Winston-Salem, North Carolina. The Mustangs were 5-point road favorites and the Under (53) hit with ease. QB Kevin Jennings (21-of-39) threw for 171 yards with no TDs and 1 INT, while the Mustangs were held to just 75 rushing yards for a 2.7 yards per carry average. The loss broke the Mustangs' nation-leading 20-game regular-season conference win streak.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Miami at SMU odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:17 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Miami -425 (bet $425 to win $100) | SMU +325 (bet $100 to win $325)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Miami -10.5 (-110) | SMU +10.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Miami at SMU picks and predictions

Prediction

Miami 31, SMU 17

Moneyline

PASS.

There is minimal value on the Hurricanes (-425), who have scored at least 21 points in each of their 7 games this season.

Against the spread

LEAN MIAMI -10.5 (-110).

The Hurricanes rebounded from their disappointing 24-21 home loss to Louisville Oct. 17, in which they failed to cover as 10.5-point home favorites, with the 35-point win vs. Stanford. They have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games, all as favorites.

SMU had an uncharacteristic offensive performance last week, scoring less than 24 points for the first time this season. Despite the defense playing well, the Mustangs will have a much more difficult task against the Hurricanes Saturday. SMU is 2-6 ATS this season.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 50.5 (-110).

The Mustangs have hit the Under in 5 of their last 6 games, while limiting opponents to 18 or fewer points in 3 of their last 4 games.

The Hurricanes have hit the Under in 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 28 or fewer points in each of the 3 games. It has helped that the defense hasn't allowed more than 24 points in any game this season.

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Miami Hurricanes at SMU Mustangs odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Seth Orlemann, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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