It’s always easy to break a game down to a handful of plays that decided the outcome in the aftermath of a game. Often, it’s a big defensive swing like a sack or an interception or a big offensive play that sets up or scores a touchdown.

But in a close game like the New York Jets’ win (wow that’s nice to type) over the Cincinnati Bengals just about every play matters. To illustrate that, here is the down, distance, play description, and win probability at the end of the play for the Bengals last drive.

As shown here, The Bengals were favored to win even after the kickoff. For those Jets fans who assumed they’d blow it, the data didn’t seem to think you were being dramatic here.

Then the Bengals ripped off a nice run for 12 yards. At this point, the Bengals chances of victory were maximi

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