One Nation could overtake Coalition as Australia’s conservative opposition

Australia may be on a trajectory where One Nation overtakes the Coalition to become the nation’s main right-wing party.

The Coalition’s primary vote slumped four points to a record low 24 per cent in the latest Newspoll, while One Nation was up four points to a record high 15 per cent.

One Nation also surged to 15 per cent in an Essential poll.

The national Newspoll, conducted October 27–30 from a sample of 1265 voters, gave Labor a 57–43 per cent lead over the Coalition, unchanged from the previous Newspoll in early October.

Primary votes were 36 per cent for Labor (down one point), 24 per cent for the Coalition (down four points), 15 per cent for One Nation (up four points), 11 per cent for the Greens (down one point) and 14 per cent for all others (up two points).

Analyst Kevin Bon