It’s one of the biggest tragedies of the 2025 presidential election: Donald Trump did exceedingly well with Latino voters.

The very communities he mocked and demonized as “criminal” turned out for him in large numbers, driven by economic despair and the same disaffected energy that has boosted the GOP among younger voters.

But Republican arrogance, overreach, and hubris have once again opened the door for Democrats to rebound in the 2026 midterms.

The rightward Latino swing was dramatic in Texas, where Trump won Latino voters 55-45 in 2024 after former President Joe Biden carried them 58-41 in 2020. Flush with that success, Republicans made those gains the foundation of their mid-decade gerrymandering efforts—which have now been countered by a successful California ballot initiative.

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