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The Republican push to flip a Democrat-held House seat in a swing district that President Donald Trump carried in his three White House runs just got a big boost.

Hours after four-term House Democratic Rep. Jared Golden announced that he wouldn’t seek re-election in the 2026 midterms in Maine’s 2nd Congressional District, two top nonpartisan political handicappers shifted the now open seat towards the Republicans.

The race in the district, which is the second-most rural in the U.S. and the largest east of the Mississippi River, is one of the most closely watched House contests in the country next year as the Republicans aim to hold their fragile majority in the chamber. And Golden’s announcement rocked the race.

“I’ve been fielding calls for

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