New Delhi: Delhi’s air is likely to slip back into the “very poor” band on Friday, November 7, according to NewsDrum’s farm-fire-based forecast. Using our model that links Punjab’s previous-day stubble-burning incidents to the Capital’s next-day AQI, the projected 24-hour average for Thursday is around 309.

The jump is consistent with the region’s fire activity on November 6. The latest CREAMS bulletin shows a sharp surge to 1,023 rice-residue burning events across the six tracked states.

On November 6, Punjab recorded 351 stubble-burning incidents against 94 a day earlier, an increase of 257 cases, roughly 3.7 times higher than November 5.

Haryana rose to 35 from 13 (+22; ~2.7×), while Uttar Pradesh climbed to 200 from 74 (+126; ~2.7×).

Rajasthan inched up to 83 from 70 (+13; ~1.2×),

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