NFL BETTING BREAKDOWN

Doug Fitz, @fitz_doug, Systemplays.com

Falcons (3-5) vs. Colts (7-2)

Time: 6:30 a.m., NFLN

Line/total: Colts -6½, 48½

Analysis: This number is a little too high for a neutral site game in Berlin. The Falcons have lost three games in a row but were competitive last week, losing 24-23 at New England. The Colts were manhandled in Pittsburgh last week and committed six turnovers in a 27-20 loss. Atlanta coach Raheem Morris is 14-9 against the spread in road nondivision games, including 9-1 ATS in his past 10 games when his team has a losing record.

Pick: Falcons 24, Colts 21

Browns (2-6) at Jets (1-7)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/total: Browns -2, 38

Analysis: This game saw the Jets flip from 2½-point favorites to 2½-point underdogs after New York’s fire sale in which it

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