Sunday Night Football heads to Los Angeles, where the Chargers host the Pittsburgh Steelers in a primetime matchup that could prove pivotal in the AFC playoff picture. Justin Herbert and the Chargers enter as three-point home favorites, with Dimers’ 10,000-game simulation model giving Los Angeles a 61% chance to win at SoFi Stadium . The Steelers, led by veteran quarterback Aaron Rodgers, will look to grind out another road victory behind a resurgent Jaylen Warren-led rushing attack and a defense built to frustrate high-powered passing games.
Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET, and the total sits at 45.5 points — suggesting a competitive but defense-minded contest. Dimers projects a 23–20 Chargers victory, but the data also points to an evenly balanced spread, making this one of Week 10’s

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