New York Jets at New England Patriots best prop bets for Thursday Night Football

New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye (10) throws the ball at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee.

The New York Jets (2-7) and the New England Patriots (8-2) meet for Thursday Night Football at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's Jets vs. Patriots odds and tab the 5 best prop bets to win among SportsbookWire's expert NFL picks and predictions for Week 11.

The Jets have won 2 in a row, both against AFC North Division teams, and both opponents were from Ohio. The Jets edged the Cleveland Browns 27-20 as a 2-point underdog Sunday as the Over (38) cashed. RB Kene Nwangwu had a 99-yard kickoff return for a touchdown in the first quarter, and WR Isaiah Williams had a 74-yard punt return for a score, also in the first quarter. QB Justin Fields threw for just 54 yards with a TD, while running for 28 yards. RB Breece Hall led the way with 83 rushing yards, and he had a 42-yard TD grab on his only reception and target.

The Patriots went on the road in Week 10 and picked up a 28-23 win against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as a 2.5-point underdog Sunday as the Over (48) cashed. QB Baker Mayfield threw for 273 yards and 3 TDs, while rookie WR Emeka Egbuka had 6 grabs for 115 yards and a TD. New England has won 7 in a row, while going 6-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Over has cashed in 4 in a row.

These teams split the season series the past 2 years. New England won 25-22 as a 7-point underdog Oct. 27, 2024, as the Over (41.5) cashed. New York won 17-3 in the previous visit to Foxborough Jan. 7, 2024, cashing as a 2-point underdog with the Under (29.5) hitting. The Under is 5-1 in the past 6 meetings.

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Best Jets at Patriots prop bets

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:19 a.m. ET

Jets QB Justin Fields UNDER 136.5 PASSING YARDS (-115)

This is a super low number, but Fields has been atrocious lately. He went for 244 passing yards in Week 8 in Cincinnati, but he has 54 or fewer passing yards in 3 of the previous 4 outings.

There isn't much more to say, as the Jets' plan lately has been to dumb down the offense and lean into RB Breece Hall in the run game, while also relying heavily on the defense to keep them in the game.

Patriots RB TreVeyon Henderson OVER 78.5 YARDS (-118)

The rookie stepped up in Tampa last week, rolling for a 55-yard TD in the third quarter and a 69-yard TD in the fourth quarter, finishing with 14 carries for 147 yards.

The Jets allow 1,244 rushing yards, including 4.5 yards per rushing attempt, and have given up 8 runs of 20 or more yards, and 3 rushes of 40+ yards.

Look for Henderson to be leaned on heavily against the Jets, as RB Rhamondre Stevenson (toe) is out yet again, and RB Terrell Jennings (knee) was nicked up last week. It should be Henderson's time to shine as the workhorse.

TNF: Best ML, ATS and O/U bets

Patriots WR Stefon Diggs UNDER 21.5 YARDS LONGEST RECEPTION (-110), Patriots WR Stefon Diggs ANYTIME TD SCORER (+135)

We're going to go for the two-fer on Diggs. He posted 5 grabs for 46 yards and a touchdown on 8 targets Sunday, and he has scored in 3 consecutive games. When the Patriots get into the red zone, QB Drake Maye relies on Diggs frequently. Expect the scoring streak to continue against the beleaguered Jets.

As far as the reception length, his longest catch has been 21 yards across the past 3 games, and he had a 24-yard grab in Week 7 at Tennessee, but he would have cashed this longest yard prop in 4 of the past 5 outings. At home, his longest catch was 33 yards in Week 4 against Carolina, but he has catches of 21 or fewer yards in his other 20 receptions at home.

Patriots PK Andy Borregales OVER 7.5 POINTS (-118)

You know the deal by now, as we play the fifth prop on the kicker each week.

Borregales is a strong play to go Over his target points. The Jets aren't likely to score much, but they have a decent defense, and they could coax the Patriots into more field-goal attempts than touchdowns. If the Patriots get to 20 points, with 2 touchdowns and 2 field goals, this prop cashes. That's what we're counting on.

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: New York Jets at New England Patriots best prop bets for Thursday Night Football

Reporting by Daniel Dobish, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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