Belem, Brazil — The world's climate leaders are conceding that Earth's warming will shoot past a hard limit they set a decade ago in hopes of keeping the planet out of a danger zone. But they're not conceding defeat.

United Nations officials, scientists, and analysts are pinning their hopes on eventually forcing global temperatures back below the red line they set in the 2015 Paris Agreement, which sought to limit warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 Fahrenheit) since preindustrial times.

Busting that limit and then coming back down is called “overshoot." In the way climate science uses the term, it doesn't mean zooming by a red line and never looking back — it's all about seeing the line in the rear view mirror and making a U-turn to get back to lower temperatures.

After years of consi

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