Texas Tech Red Raiders quarterback Behren Morton looks to pass against the BYU Cougars during a Big 12 Conference football game at Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, Texas.

The UCF Knights (4-5, 1-5 Big 12) and No. 8 Texas Tech Red Raiders (9-1, 6-1) meet in a Big 12 clash Saturday afternoon. Kickoff from Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, Texas, is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NCAA football odds around the UCF vs. Texas Tech odds and make our expert college football picks and predictions for the best bets.

UCF lost 30-27 to the Houston Cougars last Friday, failing to cover as a 1-point home favorite as the Over (47.5) cashed. UCF has dropped 5 of its last 6 contests, with much of those struggles coming on the offensive end as it has scored 20 points or fewer in 4 of those games.

The Red Raiders blasted the now-No. 12 BYU Cougars 29-7 at home Saturday, covering as a 13.5-point favorite as the Under (50.5) hit with ease. Texas Tech has been scorching hot, scoring at least 34 points in all but 2 games, and they have covered 7 of their last 8 games. The Red Raiders have been led by QB Behren Morton, who has passed for 1,969 yards and 16 TDs.

Texas Tech beat UCF 24-23 at home on Nov. 18, 2023, the last time these programs met. The Under (59) cashed as UCF covered as a 2-point road underdog.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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UCF at Texas Tech odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:19 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): UCF +1300 (bet $100 to win $1,300) | Texas Tech -3000 (bet $3,000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): UCF +23.5 (-110) | Texas Tech -23.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -102 | U: -118)

UCF at Texas Tech picks and predictions

Prediction

Texas Tech 41, UCF 10

Moneyline

PASS.

No interest. Texas Tech (-3000) should win with ease, but is far too expensive to consider.

Against the spread

BET TEXAS TECH -23.5 (-110).

The Red Raiders are surging, and their offense is easily capable of scoring enough to cover here. They are 6-1 ATS in 7 games as a double-digit favorite. On top of that, they are 4-1 ATS at home.

The Knights are reeling, especially defensively. They have allowed 30 points per game in their last 2 contests and are 1-3 ATS as an underdog. With just 6 passing TDs, the Knights have been dependent on their ground game, and the Red Raiders rank third in the nation in opponents' yards per rush attempt (2.4). That's a recipe for disaster for the UCF offense.

Back TEXAS TECH -23.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 48.5 (-102).

In 2 of the Red Raiders' last 3 games as a double-digit favorite, they have scored 42 points. They have tallied that many points in 5 of 6 home games as well. The Texas Tech offense should roll on Saturday.

The Knights, while they may struggle to run the ball, have managed to score at least 27 points in 2 of their last 3 games. They have gone Over in 2 of their last 3 contests.

Take OVER 48.5 (-102).

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: UCF Knights at Texas Tech Red Raiders odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Nathan Beighle, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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