Fresh off wins in the 2025 elections , Democrats are shifting their sights toward their next target: the special election to fill the seat of former Rep. Mark Green (R-TN), after a recent polling index shows the normally solid red district slightly more within reach.

Though President Donald Trump won the Tennessee 7th District by 22 percentage points, the nonpartisan Cook Political Report shifted the race from “solid Republican” to “likely Republican.” The reasoning centered on Democratic nominee Aftyn Behn’s affordability agenda and charisma, as well as Democrats ’ ability to outperform Republicans in non-presidential cycles .

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