The Carolina Panthers (5-5) and Atlanta Falcons (3-6) meet Sunday for a Week 11 game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NFL odds around the Panthers vs. Falcons odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.
The Panthers topped the Falcons 30-0 in Week 3 at Bank of America Stadium, easily cashing as a 5-point underdog as the Under (44) cashed. The Falcons still lead the all-time series 37-24. Carolina has won 3 of the past 4 meetings, while also going 3-1 against the spread (ATS) in the span. Carolina is a respectable 6-3 ATS in the past 9 in the series, too.
Carolina was disappointing in Week 10, falling 17-7 to the New Orleans Saints as a 5.5-point favorite as the Under (38) cashed. RB Rico Dowdle ran for 53 yards and a touchdown for the only real highlight last Sunday. Despite the loss and non-cover, Carolina is still 4-2 ATS in the past 6 games, with the Under going 3-1 in the previous 4 outings.
Atlanta suffered a 31-25 loss in overtime in Berlin last week against the Indianapolis Colts, pushing at most shops as a 6-point underdog. RB Tyler Allgeier ran for 57 yards and 2 TDs in the losing effort, while WR Drake London had 6 catches for 104 yards and a score. Now, the Falcons face the tough turnaround playing at home after the long overseas trip. Atlanta has lost 4 in a row, while going 1-2-1 ATS in the span, while the Over is 2-0-1 in the previous 3 games.
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Panthers at Falcons odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 6:41 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Panthers +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Falcons -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Panthers +3.5 (-115) | Falcons -3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 42 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Panthers at Falcons key injuries
Panthers
- S Lathan Ransom (hand) out
- LB Trevin Wallace (shoulder) out
Falcons
- CB Dee Alford (concussion) out
- OG Matthew Bergeron (ankle) out
- DE Brandon Dorlus (oblique) questionable
- DE Zach Harrison (knee) questionable
- CB Mike Hughes (neck) questionable
- OG Chris Lindstrom (foot) questionable
- WR Drake London (illness, back) questionable
- DE Sam Roberts (knee, ankle) out
- LB Josh Woods (hamstring) out
Panthers at Falcons picks and predictions
Prediction
Falcons 22, Panthers 16
Moneyline
The Falcons (-190) are a little over my personal limit of -180 for a moneyline wager. If you were to use a boost or promo, it would be perfectly OK to use Atlanta straight up. If you used the Falcons as part of a multi-leg parlay, that would be fine, too.
AVOID straight up, and look to the spread instead.
Against the spread
Back FALCONS -3.5 (-105), as they look to exact revenge on the Panthers after the stunning shutout loss in Charlotte back in Week 3.
However, be careful not to place your wager early. This wager hinges on whether or not London is active or inactive, so circle back 90 minutes before kickoff before finalizing. If London is out, skip.
Over/Under
UNDER 41.5 (-110) is the play, and it's obviously helped out greatly if London is unable to go.
However, even if London can play, we saw the total go Under in Week 3. The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 games for Carolina, and the total has gone low in the past 2 road games, while going 3-2 in 5 trips this season.
Atlanta has cashed high in the past 2 games, but I can't help but think it might be a bit sluggish after traveling from Germany back to Atlanta and having no rest. That's a tough turnaround.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions
Reporting by Daniel Dobish, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire
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