California Gov. Gavin Newsom is receiving heightened attention as a leading potential Democrat contender for the 2028 presidential race, but emerging party data suggests a disconnect between media enthusiasm and measurable impact on the ground.

A Politico column by senior political writer Jonathan Martin portrayed California Gov. Gavin Newsom as the Democrat Party’s early frontrunner for 2028, pointing to his clashes with President Trump, his use of social media to shape political narratives, and his decision to redraw California’s congressional map as factors boosting his national profile.

Martin’s analysis highlighted Newsom’s appeal across both traditional and modern Democrat coalitions. He drew comparisons to Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton, and Barack Obama—candidates who ros

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