When President Donald Trump began an extraordinary campaign this summer pressuring Republican lawmakers to redraw state congressional maps, starting with Texas, some Democrats feared it could hand a dozen new seats to Republicans in next year's midterm elections.

Since then, however, a series of court rulings and aggressive moves by Democrats have dented Trump's plan, leaving the eventual winners of the nationwide redistricting war unclear. With Republicans clinging to the smallest of majorities in the U.S. House of Representatives, even small shifts from state to state could impact the race for control of Congress in 2026.

Pending court cases and ongoing redistricting discussions may still improve one party's chances over the other, but analysts say the Republican advantage has diminish

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