The Miami Heat (14-7) and Dallas Mavericks (7-15) meet Wednesday at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NBA odds around the Heat vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Heat lead 1-0
The Heat beat the LA Clippers 140-123 Monday, covering as a 6-point home favorite with the Over (235.5) cashing. Four Heat players had 20 or more points, with C Bam Adebayo scoring a team-high 27 on 10-for-17 shooting. Miami has won 7 of its last 8 games, going 5-3 against the spread (ATS) in that span. It is 13-8 ATS on the season.
The Mavericks beat the Denver Nuggets 131-121 on the road Monday, covering as an 11-point underdog. The Over (235.5) hit as F Anthony Davis -- who has only played 7 games this season -- tallied 32 points on 13-for-23 shooting. Dallas has won 2 straight games and is 3-3 straight up and ATS across its last 6. It is 10-12 ATS on the season.
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Heat at Mavericks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:47 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Mavericks +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
- Against the spread: Heat -5.5 (-110) | Mavericks +5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 241.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Heat at Mavericks key injuries
Heat
- G Norman Powell (ankle) questionable
Mavericks
- C Daniel Gafford (ankle) questionable
- G Kyrie Irving (knee) out
- C Dereck Lively II (foot) out
- F P.J. Washington (ankle) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Heat at Mavericks picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 121, Mavericks 119
Moneyline
PASS.
While Mavericks (+180) is a tempting line, the preferred route is the spread.
Against the spread
BET MAVERICKS +5.5 (-110).
Dallas has been surging, and it has recently covered well as an underdog. It is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 contests as an underdog and 2-2 ATS in its last 4 games at home. The Mavericks’ offense has found a groove, scoring at least 114 points in 3 straight games, with Davis playing in 2 of those outings.
Miami is the more injured side, and despite averaging 137.5 points per game in its last 2 contests, it has scored 115 or fewer in 4 of its last 8 games, so it has been sporadic offensively. The Heat are 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Take MAVERICKS +5.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 241.5 (-115).
The Heat are 4-4 O/U in their last 8 games, having allowed 117 points or fewer in 6 of those contests. Potentially missing Powell could hurt, though, as he’s averaging a team-high 25 points per game.
The Mavericks are 2-6 O/U across their last 8 contests, holding all but 1 of those opponents to 121 points or fewer. Back UNDER 241.5 (-115).
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions
Reporting by Nathan Beighle, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire
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