There was a time when more than nine in 10 people would vote for one of the two main parties at a general election. As recently as 2017, the Conservatives and Labour attracted 82.3 per cent of all votes.

Now, according to The i Paper ‘s most recent poll , just 42 per cent of public would vote either Tory or Labour.

If you listen to Reform UK , the reason for this is clear: they are replacing the Conservatives as the dominant party of the right. On that logic, Britain may be moving from one two-party system to another, just as happened a century ago when Labour first eclipsed the Liberals.

But hold on a minute. Yes, Reform are in the lead, and have been in every poll for months now – but their lead is hardly commanding. Our poll put Nigel Farage’s party on 30 per cent, a level of s

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