The federal Liberal Party maintains a 43% support level among decided Canadian voters, according to a recent poll. This figure keeps the Liberals ahead of the Conservative Party, which has seen a decline of two points to 36%. The survey, conducted from November 28 to 30, shows no change in Liberal support since a previous poll on November 3.

The Bloc Québécois has gained two points, now sitting at 9% support, while the New Democratic Party (NDP) has increased by one point to 8%. Andrew Enns, executive vice-president for Central Canada at Leger, commented on the poll results, stating, "There is no clear advantage for any party when you look at these numbers to suggest that going into an election would be a really good idea. I don’t see anything positive for any of the two frontrunners to suggest that they’ve got a really clear path to victory."

Satisfaction with Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government stands at 49%, with 40% of respondents expressing dissatisfaction. Carney's approval rating remains unchanged at 51%, although it has decreased from 55% in July. Disapproval of his performance is at 38%. Enns noted that recent political events, including a Conservative resignation and the passing of the 2025 budget, have not significantly altered public perception of the government or political parties.

"Voters are still waiting for the new government to start to move forward on some of its promises and not really kicking the tires of any of the opposition parties right now, in any meaningful way," Enns said. "They’re sort of parked."

Satisfaction levels for federal opposition leaders are low. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has a 31% approval rating, while Green Party Leader Elizabeth May is at 26%. Bloc Québécois leader Yves-François Blanchet has 19%, and interim NDP leader Don Davies is at 17%. Carney is the preferred prime minister for 40% of those surveyed, followed by Poilievre at 28%.

The poll also revealed that 31% of women surveyed were unsure of which leader to support, nearly double the 16% of men who felt the same. Enns remarked, "If you look under the hood a little bit, there is a significant number of voters who are pretty ambivalent about all of these individuals. From a political perspective, that always presents a bit of an opportunity to go out and try to convince them – make your case — so we’ll see how that goes in the New Year."

Among Conservative supporters, 78% believe Poilievre should remain as the party leader, while most supporters of other parties think he should resign. Enns described this sentiment as a "temperature check" on Conservative supporters' feelings toward Poilievre, noting, "It’s not a slam dunk ringing endorsement. But it doesn’t necessarily indicate that there’s a real groundswell of dissatisfaction either."

The online survey included 1,579 participants from across Canada. The results were weighted based on age, gender, mother tongue, region, education, and the presence of children in the household. A margin of error cannot be applied, but a probability sample of this size would typically yield a margin of error of plus or minus 2.47%, 19 times out of 20.