Republicans’ win in a closely-watched special House election in Tennessee can’t mask what is shaping up to be an increasingly challenging 2026 for President Trump and the GOP.

Indeed, with midterms often turning into referendums on the party in power, Trump is facing a number of headwinds suggesting that his final two years in office may feature Democratic control of at least one chamber of Congress.

To be sure, this has less to do with anything Democrats are doing and everything to do with how Trump is handling domestic and foreign policy.

Domestically, Trump’s approval rating sits at just 42% according to the RealClearPolitics aggregate , amid growing discontent with his approach to key issues.

On Trump’s handling of the overall economy, just 43% of voters approve according to

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