Indiana lawmakers' rejection of a plan to create two more Republican congressional seats Thursday was a blow to the White House. But it brought more clarity to how the nationwide redistricting war that President Trump launched could affect the 2026 midterms.

Why it matters: Despite their setback in Indiana, Republicans still stand to pick up a few more seats than Democrats in mid-decade redistricting — for now, at least. • Whether that will be enough to help the GOP keep control of the U.S. House isn't so clear at a time of growing voter discontent with Trump's economy and immigration policies.

By the numbers: In the six states where redistricting efforts are essentially locked in — Texas, California, Ohio, Missouri, North Carolina and Utah — Republicans are likely to have a net gain o

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