Time has marched on since the last hurricane season, and residents across Tampa Bay are still reckoning with the destruction from last year’s major storms .

But a new hurricane season has arrived, and across the board, experts expect it to be above normal.

A couple of key ingredients are driving the outlooks — namely warm sea-surface temperatures in areas where hurricanes form, and weather conditions that likely won’t be strong enough to tamp down storms.

“Everything is in place for an above-average season,” said Ken Graham, the director of the National Weather Service, during the unveiling of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s hurricane outlook .

“What do we always say? It only takes one.”

Here’s a look at the forecasts so far, and the ingredients behind them.

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