Updated at 10 a.m. on Sunday, Aug. 31, 2025.

The disturbance we've been talking about for the last few days is finally moving off the coast of Africa and into the Atlantic. The system is very disorganized, so it will take a while before anything comes of it.

The National Hurricane Center gives it a low chance of developing into a tropical depression in the large yellow area this week. The atmosphere is dry, and the upper-level winds are not especially conducive for development.

In about a week, however, several of the long-range computer forecasts show the system developing north or northeast of the Caribbean islands. There's nothing to think about that at this point, except that it's probably a signal that the atmosphere is generally going to become more conducive to tropical developme

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