Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the Cincinnati Bengals during an NFL game at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland.

The Washington Commanders (1-0) and the Green Bay Packers (1-0) meet for Thursday Night Football at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's Commanders vs. Packers odds and tab the 5 best prop bets to win among SportsbookWire's expert NFL picks and predictions for Week 2.

The Commanders kicked off their season with a 21-6 win over the New York Giants in Week 1, covering as 6-point home favorites while the Under (45.5) hit. QB Jayden Daniels wasn’t at peak efficiency but still contributed in multiple ways. He threw for 233 yards with a TD and rushed for 68 yards on 11 carries. Rookie seventh-round pick RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt had a big debut, rushing for 82 yards with a score on 10 carries. Washington’s defense also made its mark, holding New York to just 74 rushing yards.

The Packers opened their season with a 27-13 home victory over the Detroit Lions in Week 1, covering as 1.5-point favorites while the Under (48.5) cashed. QB Jordan Love completed 16 of 22 passes for 188 yards with 2 TDs. RB Josh Jacobs rushed for 66 yards and a score on 19 carries. Green Bay’s defense set the tone, holding Detroit to just 46 rushing yards while pressuring QB Jared Goff throughout the game. The Packers recorded 4 sacks, including one from new star DE Micah Parsons.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Best Commanders at Packers prop bets

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:07 p.m. ET.

Commanders RB Jayden Daniels OVER 45.5 RUSHING YARDS (-118)

The Packers didn’t trade for Parsons just to boost their pass rush -- they brought him in for games exactly like this. Facing the reigning Offensive Rookie of the Year in Daniels, Green Bay needs every bit of speed and discipline it can muster to contain a quarterback who thrives outside the pocket. DE's Parsons and Rashan Gary will be tasked with keeping Daniels in check.

That’s no small challenge. Washington doesn’t just rely on Daniels to scramble — his runs are part of the game plan. In the opener, the Commanders called 7 designed runs for him, and he finished with the 68 yards a team-high 11 carries, outpacing Croskey-Merritt (10 carries) and RB Austin Ekeler (6 carries). Against a Packers defense that recorded 4 sacks in its opener, Daniels’ legs could once again be the difference.

Last season, Daniels topped 43.5 rushing yards in 10 games, including 3 times on the road. With a raucous Lambeau crowd creating communication challenges, Washington may lean even more on Daniels’ mobility to extend drives. Given his history and the matchup, he’s a strong target to make an impact Thursday night.

Packers RB Josh Jacobs UNDER 76.5 RUSHING YARDS (-114)-*

*-Line from FanDuel sportsbook

The Commanders made it clear this offseason that shoring up their run defense was a priority, and early results show it’s paying off. After finishing last season ranked 30th against the run, allowing 137.5 yards per game, Washington added key reinforcements in DT Javon Kinlaw and DE Deatrich Wise Jr. to strengthen the defensive front.

That investment paid immediate dividends in Week 1. As mentioned, the Commanders held the Giants to 74 rushing yards -- on 23 carries for an average of 3.2 yards per attempt. They also recorded 7 tackles for loss, setting a physical tone up front.

This improved run defense will be critical again Thursday night, especially against Jacobs. The Packers star back was limited to 66 yards on 19 carries in Week 1 for a 3.5-yard average. Given Washington’s retooled front and strong opening performance, betting on the Commanders to contain Jacobs and keep his production modest looks like a strong angle for Thursday night.

Commanders RB Austin Ekeler OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS (+115)

This matchup sets up well for Ekeler to be active in the passing game. NFL teams generally target their backs more often against zone coverage (15% last year) compared to man (8%), and Green Bay defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley leaned heavily on zone a season ago. That tendency led to the Packers allowing the fourth-most receptions to running backs.

The addition of Parsons only increases the likelihood of quick decisions from opposing QBs, forcing hurried throws downfield or checkdowns. Daniels has shown he rarely forces mistakes, and his 7.7% checkdown rate sits right near the league average. Expect him to take what the defense gives.

Ekeler opened this season with 3 receptions and closed last year strong, recording at least 4 catches in the Commanders' final 2 playoff games. With the Lions’ backs hauling in 14 receptions against the Packers in Week 1, this prop points to Ekeler cashing the Over Thursday night.

Commanders WR Noah Brown OVER 21.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-120)

While most of the attention in Washington’s passing game centers on WR's Terry McLaurin and Deebo Samuel, Brown deserves a closer look. Daniels clearly trusts him, and the numbers back it up. Before his injury in December, Brown averaged 6.2 targets per game over his final 6 appearances, going Over this receiving prop (21.5 yards) in 5 of those contests. In fact, he cleared the number in 9 of the 11 games he played last season.

The trend carried into Week 1 as Brown finished with 27 yards against the Giants. With defenses naturally keying in on McLaurin and Samuel, Brown is often left with favorable matchups, making this prop very reachable. Given his consistency when healthy and Daniels’ willingness to spread the ball, Brown has a strong chance to go Over vs. the Pack This line feels very reasonable, and the opportunities should be there.

WIN YOUR FANTASY FOOTBALL LEAGUE! The Huddle has been turning players like you into winners for over 25 years. This season, it's your turn. Custom fantasy football rankings, sleepers and tools are just a click away. Subscribe now!

Packers K Brandon McManus OVER 1.5 FIELD GOALS (-118)

It may sound unusual to back a kicker prop, but there’s real value with McManus here. He’s already shown he can clear this number, doing so in Week 1 against Detroit and hitting it in 3 of his last 4 regular-season games. But the real reason to like this bet is Washington’s defense.

The Commanders played with grit in their opener, especially in the red zone. Giants kicker Graham Gano nailed 2 field goals thanks to the Commanders' ability to clamp down near the goal line. On New York’s second drive, the Commanders stuffed the Giants on 7 plays inside the 10, forcing a 21-yard kick. Later, with under 3 minutes to go, they stood tall again, shutting down a goal-line push and sealing the win.

This “bend but don’t break” style often leads to stalled drives and field-goal attempts rather than touchdowns. Against a defense like this, McManus should get multiple opportunities, making the Over on this prop a strong play.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @DrewPhelps05 on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Access more NFL coverage:

TheHuddle Fantasy Football | BearsWire | BengalsWire | BillsWire | BroncosWire | BrownsWire | BucsWire | CardsWire | ChargersWire | ChiefsWire | ColtsWire | CommandersWire | CowboysWire | DolphinsWire | EaglesWire | FalconsWire | GiantsWire | JaguarsWire | JetsWire | LionsWire | NinersWire | PackersWire | PanthersWire | PatriotsWire | RaidersWire | RamsWire | RavensWire | SaintsWire | SeahawksWire | SteelersWire | TexansWire | TitansWire | VikingsWire | DraftWire | TouchdownWire | ListWire

This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Washington Commanders at Green Bay Packers best prop bets for Thursday Night Football

Reporting by Drew Phelps, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect