Scientists have raised concerns about the feasibility and environmental impact of geoengineering proposals aimed at combating climate change in the Arctic. The Arctic is warming at a rate four times faster than the global average, prompting discussions about artificial climate modification methods. These methods include thickening sea ice, fertilizing oceans with iron, and releasing particles into the atmosphere to reflect sunlight.
A recent study published in the journal Frontiers in Science concludes that these geoengineering strategies are unlikely to succeed and could cause significant environmental harm. The research team, which convened after the COP28 climate conference in Dubai, evaluated five of the most advanced geoengineering proposals for the polar regions. They found that all failed to meet basic feasibility criteria and could lead to severe ecological consequences.
Co-author Martin Sommerkorn from the World Wildlife Fund stated, "There's a lot of false hope being created, suggesting that a little intervention will solve the problem. There are really no shortcuts to fixing climate change. Our research really shows that there is long-term commitment required over many, many years."
Helen Amanda Fricker, a professor at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography and a lead author of the study, emphasized the impracticality of these techniques. "At face value, a lot of these techniques logically make sense, but once you start to think about it in a practical sense, it just doesn't," she said. Fricker noted that the scale of ice sheets is often beyond human comprehension, complicating any geoengineering efforts.
Julienne Stroeve, another co-author from the University of Manitoba, echoed these concerns. She pointed out that even if geoengineering methods were effective locally, they could have broader negative impacts. "Even if you try to cool the Arctic by helping the sea ice last longer, then you're still warming the mid-latitudes or the equator," Stroeve explained. "Then you're just going to invigorate all your storm systems to bring that excess heat up to the polar regions."
The study also warns that investing in geoengineering research could divert attention and resources away from the urgent need to reduce carbon emissions. However, some experts argue that exploring geoengineering options is still necessary. Steve Desch, an astrophysics professor at Arizona State University, believes that multiple approaches are needed to address climate change. "We all agree decarbonization is key, but in the meantime, should we not explore these other options to keep things from getting worse, as well?" he said.
Desch has been researching methods to artificially thicken sea ice and sees potential in this approach, although he acknowledges that further research is required. He stated, "We feel confident that whatever effects it would have pale in comparison to the complete loss of sea ice, which we're headed for."
Greg Henry, a geography professor emeritus at the University of British Columbia, has witnessed the rapid changes in the Arctic over his 40 years of work in the region. He understands the urgency behind geoengineering proposals but considers them too risky. "We really don't have a full understanding of what would happen if we threw a whole bunch of particles into the stratosphere," he cautioned.
Henry highlighted the challenges of replicating the cooling effects of large volcanic eruptions and raised concerns about the potential impacts on Indigenous communities in the Arctic. He believes that resources should be focused on decarbonization efforts instead. "These projects are so enormous and so expensive and so fraught with unintended consequences, it seems almost silly to take them on," he said.