There are a few ways I considered betting this game before settling on the Baltimore Ravens spread. I considered the game total, Baltimore’s team total, and Baltimore's team touchdowns. Ultimately, I decided to stick with the spread.

The key here is that I trust Baltimore’s offense to put points on the board. It’s only been two weeks, but the Ravens are averaging 0.786 points per play this season. This is drastically higher than anyone else in the NFL, and it’s 0.284 more points per play than any team averaged last season.

This isn’t a sustainable number, and it will decrease throughout the season. Baltimore gets a plus matchup against the Detroit Lions this week, though. They rank 24th in the NFL in points allowed per play (0.432) thus far. The Lions struggled against a potent Green Bay

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