It's the final week of September, and Boston Red Sox fans are officially on Standings Watch.

That's a welcome change from the past three seasons, when the Red Sox didn't play any meaningful baseball past Labor Day. But October baseball in 2025 is far from guaranteed for Alex Cora's club, which sits precariously in the second American League Wild Card spot after dropping its series finale to the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday.

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FanGraphs pegs Boston's postseason chances at 90.3 percent as of Monday afternoon. But a lot can change between now and Sunday, a six-game stretch that features two series against current division leaders -- the Toronto Blue Jays and Detroit Tigers -- to finish the regular season.

So, what exact

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