The Washington Commanders head to Atlanta on Sunday for a Week 4 showdown with the Falcons in a game oddsmakers expect to be razor-close. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, with the Falcons listed as slight 1.5-point favorites at home. Both teams are looking to gain momentum in a crowded NFC playoff picture, and the early line reflects just how evenly matched they are on paper.

According to Dimers , Washington may have the slight edge despite being the underdog. Their predictive model gives the Commanders a 57% chance of winning outright after running 10,000 simulations of the game. The data also suggests value on Washington to cover the +1.5 spread, with a 55% probability, while the 44.5-point total leans toward going over.

The projected final score — Commanders 23,

See Full Page