The New York Jets (0-3) and the Miami Dolphins (0-3) meet in the first game of a Monday Night Football doubleheader at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida, Kickoff is at 7:15 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's Jets vs. Dolphins odds and tab the 5 best prop bets to win among SportsbookWire's expert NFL picks and predictions for Week 4.
The Jets suffered a heartbreaking 29-27 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on a walk-off field goal, but they did manage to cover as 6.5-point road underdogs as the Over (43) cashed. QB Tyrod Taylor filled in well for the injured Justin Fields, completing 26-of-36 for 197 yards, 2 touchdowns, and a pick, while also rushing for 48 yards. WR Garrett Wilson was his go-to target, hauling in 10 catches for 84 yards and a score.
The Dolphins dropped to 0-3 after losing 31-21 to the Buffalo Bills on Thursday night in Week 3. Miami did cover as 11-point road underdogs with the Over (50.5) hitting. QB Tua Tagovailoa struggled, throwing for just 142 yards with 2 TDs and an interception. WR Tyreek Hill finally found the end zone for the first time this season, while rookie RB Ollie Gordon II also notched his first career touchdown.
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Best Jets at Dolphins prop bets
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.
Jets RB Breece Hall OVER 56.5 RUSHING YARDS (-118)
The Dolphins have struggled to contain the run, giving up 4.5 yards per carry, and their league-high 41.1% blitz rate has made them vulnerable to backs who can exploit over-aggressiveness. That creates big-play opportunities for Hall, who ripped off 100 yards in Week 1 and should see volume with both teams desperate to avoid 0-4. Miami has also allowed 15 RB receptions for 164 yards through 3 games, so if he gets involved as a pass-catcher, the rushing lanes will be there.
Jets WR Garrett Wilson OVER 61.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)
Wilson has been the Jets’ most reliable weapon, drawing at least 8 targets in every game this season and proving quarterback-proof no matter who is under center. Through 3 weeks, he’s piled up 21 catches for 229 yards and 2 TDs on 30 targets, and that kind of volume is exactly what I want when betting an Over.
This is also a matchup he’s already dominated — last season against the Dolphins, Wilson torched them for 11 catches, 165 yards, and 2 scores. Miami’s secondary hasn’t improved enough to change the outlook, and with the Jets desperate to avoid 0-4, I expect Wilson to be leaned on heavily once again.
- JETS AT DOLPHINS: Odds, picks, predictions
Dolphins RB De'Von Achane OVER 5.5 RECEPTIONS (-120)
Over the past 2 weeks, Achane has been heavily involved as a receiver, drawing 10 and 9 targets, and that trend should continue. The Jets’ defense has been tough against the run, holding opponents to 3.6 yards per carry, but they’ve quietly struggled against backs in the passing game, already giving up 164 receiving yards to the position.
Achane’s dual role makes him nearly matchup-proof — he has 23 targets and 30 carries in 3 games, and there’s minimal competition for touches in Miami’s backfield. With defenses focusing on WRs Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, I expect Achane to remain a focal point in the short passing game and clear this number.
Jets QB Justin Fields OVER 46.5 RUSHING YARDS (-118)
Fields’ legs are a huge part of his game — he’s averaged 50.1 rushing yards per contest over his career and already has 97 yards and 2 TDs on 17 carries in 2 games. Miami has consistently struggled to contain mobile QBs, allowing the third-most fantasy points to the position, and that plays right into Fields’ strengths. While his passing production has been inconsistent, his rushing floor and upside are undeniable. In this matchup, despite coming off a week for concussion protocol, I see a clear path for Fields to clear this number.
Both Teams to Score 20 or More Points: YES (+110)
The case starts with 2 defenses that simply haven’t shown the ability to stop anyone. The Jets have given up 29+ points in every game this season, while the Dolphins have been even worse, allowing 31+ in all 3 contests and sitting last in scoring defense.
On the other side, both offenses have the tools to take advantage. The Jets should get a boost with Fields back from a concussion, adding a dynamic element to their top-10 rushing attack. Miami, meanwhile, has plenty of firepower and has historically owned this matchup, winning 9 straight games at home against New York.
Recent history also points to points: The last 2 meetings combined for 52+ total points each. Sportsbooks expect a high-scoring game, with the total sitting in the mid-40s and favorable odds on this prop. I’m confident both teams clear 20.
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: New York Jets at Miami Dolphins best prop bets for Monday Night Football
Reporting by Drew Phelps, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire
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