Premiums for health plans purchased over the Affordable Care Act marketplace will more than double in 2026 if enhanced subsidies expire at year's end as scheduled, according to an analysis published Tuesday by KFF, a nonpartisan health policy research group.

The finding comes as Democrats and Republicans are locked in a stalemate tied to the enhanced subsidies, which threatens to shut down the federal government after midnight on Oct. 1.

The enhanced subsidies — or, enhanced premium tax credits — make health insurance premiums cheaper for 22 million ACA enrollees.

They're slated to expire at the end of 2025, absent congressional action.

If they end, recipients of the enhanced credits would see their premiums increase to $1,906 in 2026 from $888 this year, on average — a 114% in

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