Ahead of the Nobel Peace Prize award announcement, some supporters were holding out hope that President Donald Trump would secure the win. Polymarket users had a different feeling.

Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado received a surge in betting in the hours before she won the prize, her odds taking off from around 3% at 6:00 p.m. Thursday to as high as 73.5% around 8 p.m.

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It’s unclear what caused the odds to tilt in her favor. Machado’s odds to win stayed in the high 60s, sitting at around 70% right before her win was announced around 5 a.m. F

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