Traders on prediction markets are betting the federal government shutdown will stretch beyond three weeks, with lawmakers still deadlocked on a funding plan and the Senate not scheduled to vote again until next Tuesday.

Traders on Kalshi give a 56% chance that the government shutdown will last just over 28 days. The trading volume, or the total dollar amount wagered on this market, sits just north of $5.5 million.

About 71% of traders expect the government shutdown to last more than 20 days, while roughly 45% believe it will extend beyond 30 days.

Meanwhile, 96% of traders on Polymarket expect the shutdown to last a little over two weeks, with about $2.2 million wagered on the market.

The federal government shut down at 12:01 a.m. ET on Oct. 7, forcing agencies to send home workers

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