Chicago Bears at Washington Commanders odds, picks and prediction

Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels (5) celebrates after the game against the LA Chargers at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California.

The Chicago Bears (2-2) travel to the Nation's Capital to take on the Washington Commanders (3-2) on Monday Night Football. Kickoff from Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland, is set for 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NFL odds around the Bears vs. Commanders odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.

Chicago had a bye in Week 5. They escaped with a 25-24 win over the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 4 while covering as a 1.5-point underdog as the Over (48) hit. The Bears forced 4 turnovers and held the Raiders to just 2-of-9 on third and fourth downs. The Bears have won back-to-back games in which they lost the total yards battle because their turnover ratio over these last 2 games is 8-1.

Washington picked up a 27-10 win over the LA Chargers in Week 5 while covering as a 3-point underdog with the Under (48) cashing. The Commanders beat LA in total yards and won the turnover battle, and LA's 10 penalties for 85 yards put the cherry on top of what was an embarrassing performance for the Chargers. The Commanders have scored at least 27 points in 3 consecutive games.

Washington won the 2024 meeting 18-14 at home thanks to a 52-yard Hail Mary. The Commanders lead the all-time series 28-25-1 and are 3-2 in their last 5 matchups against the Bears.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Bears at Commanders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 7:33 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Bears +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Commanders -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Bears +5.5 (-110) | Commanders -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 50 (O: -110 | U: -110)

WIN YOUR FANTASY FOOTBALL LEAGUE! The Huddle has been turning players like you into winners for over 25 years. This season, it's your turn. Custom fantasy football rankings, sleepers and tools are just a click away. Subscribe now!

Bears at Commanders key injuries

Bears

DT Grady Jarrett (knee) out
DL Austin Booker (knee) questionable
RB Travis Homer (calf) questionable
TE Colston Loveland (hip) questionable
K Cairo Santos (thigh) questionable

Commanders

WR Noah Brown (groin/knee)
WR Terry McLaurin (quad) out
RB Chris Rodriguez Jr. (calf) questionable
WR Deebo Samuel (heel) questionable

Bears at Commanders picks and predictions

Prediction

Commanders 31, Bears 27

Moneyline

PASS.

The Commanders will run the ball down Chicago's throat to come away with this win and cover as -250 favorites as the better team. However, no team favored this heavily is ever worth the risk of betting on, so pass and bet on the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BEARS +5.5 (-110).

Chicago's big advantage here lies in the passing game where the Bears put up 225.8 yards per game while the Commanders give up 235 passing yards per game. Chicago being a top-half team passing while Washington is a bottom-half team at defending the pass should be enough to lead to some quick scores for Chicago so that the Bears can cover here.

This is a risky play as Chicago is a bottom 2 team defending the run while Washington averages the most rushing yards per game in the league (156.4), meaning that Washington will dominate on the ground.

Over/Under

BET OVER 50 (-110).

Both of these defenses are bad and you won't see either team in the top-15 for any positive defensive statistic. On the other side, both offenses are talented and have shown that they can put up points as both average over 25 PPG. Look for this to be a game in which Washington controls the game with longer drives while Chicago finds a few quick TDs to keep it close and smash the Over here.

FOOTBALL NEVER STOPS: Live games, analysis and more 7 days a week: Get ESPN+!

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Access more NFL coverage:

This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Chicago Bears at Washington Commanders odds, picks and prediction

Reporting by Payton Shanks, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect